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Chriselyn Kavanagh, Simon Lang, Andrew Northfield, Peter Hill
The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers have recently releasedHEC-LifeSim1.0, a dynamic simulation model for estimating life loss from severe flooding (Fields, 2016). In contrast to the empirical models that are often used to estimate life loss from dam failure, HEC-LifeSim explicitly models the warning and mobilisation of the population at risk, and predicts the spatial distribution of fatalities across the structures and transport networks expected to be inundated. This capability provides additional insights to dam owners that can be used to better understand and reduce the life safety risks posed by large dams. In this paper, we demonstrate the use of HEC-LifeSim to model the potential loss of life from failure of five large Australian dams. Particular attention is paid to how the predicted life loss varies with warning time, in a manner that depends on human response and the transport network’s capacity for mass evacuations, and the modelled severity of flooding. We also examine how the HEC-LifeSim estimates of life loss compare with those from the empirical Reclamation Consequence Estimating Methodology (RCEM).
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2017 Papers
2017 – Observations from Five Australian Applications of HEC-LifeSim to Estimate Potential Loss of Life from Dam Failure
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2017 Papers
2017 – Operation and Implementation of a Web-based Dam Monitoring Platform
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2017 Papers
2017 – Tropical Cyclone Debbie – A SunWater Experience
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2018 Papers
2018 – A Logical ALARP Risk Procedure
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2018 Papers
2018 – Current Australian and International Practices for Dam Failure Consequence Assessments
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2018 Papers
2018 – Dam Safety Management of Junction and Clover Dams: A Risk Based and Observational Approach
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2018 Papers
2018 – Demonstration of HEC-LifeSim Analysis of Dam Failure
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2018 Papers
2018 – Integrating Climate Change into Dams Management Practices
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2018 Papers
2018 – Of Droughts & Flooding Rains: The Influence of Major Incidents on Dam Ownership in Victoria
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2018 Papers
2018 – Seepage Flow Path Identification for Leakage Detection and Asset Management
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2018 Papers
2018 – Trustpower Dam Safety Management – A Journey through Time
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2019 Papers
2019 – Quantitative Assessment of Dam Safety Emergency Management Using HEC-LifeSim: Is it Feasible?
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2019 Papers
2019 – Using Risk Communication to Address the Dam Safety Knowledge Gap in Communities
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2020 Papers
2020 – Dam Safety Due Diligence demands SFAIRP not ALARP
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2020 Papers
2020 – Implications of NSW Dams Safety Regulation 2019 on dam safety risk management
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